By David Stanway
SHANGHAI (Reuters) – The cost of raising a child in China stands at nearly seven times its per capita GDP, far more than the United States and Japan, highlighting the challenges facing Chinese policymakers as they try to tackle rapidly declining birth rates, new research showed.
Experts warn China’s ageing population will put huge pressure on its health and social security system, while a dwindling workforce could also severely limit growth for the world’s second largest economy in the coming decades.
Although new policies allow families to have as many as three children, China’s birth rate dropped to 7.52 births per 1,000 people in 2021, the lowest since the National Bureau of Statistics began recording the data in 1949.
The sky-high costs of child-rearing have helped prompt a crackdown by Beijing on the private tutoring industry while some regions have been giving couples cash for having a second or third child.
Beijing-based YuWa Population Research Institute said in a report published on Tuesday that the average cost of raising a child to the age of 18 in China in 2019 stood at 485,000 yuan ($76,629) for a first child, 6.9 times China’s per capita GDP that year.
China ranks second highest among the 13 countries included in the study, behind only South Korea, which has the lowest birth rate in the world. The U.S. figure, based on 2015 data, stood at 4.11 times per capita GDP while Japan’s figure, based on 2010 data stood at 4.26.
Child rearing costs are even higher in China’s major cities, reaching more than 1 million yuan in Shanghai and 969,000 yuan in Beijing. Birth rates in the two cities are even lower than the national average.
YuWa warned the declining birth rate would “profoundly affect” China’s economic growth potential, its ability to innovate and its welfare burden.
China would need to spend at least 5% of its annual GDP to create incentives for couples to have more children, including education subsidies, preferential mortgage rates, tax breaks, equal paternity and maternity leave, as well as the construction of more childcare centres, it added.
($1 = 6.3292 yuan)
(Reporting by David Stanway; Editing by Shivani Singh)
